I have sleepless night-Vikram Pandit
Just 1 week after my post about citigroup and malaysian's RM 60 billion stimulus package, the sentiment in the global economy has changed. There seems to be more optimism. Many economist says they sees the economy is going to be bottom up in the mid of 2009 and starts to recover in 2010. This was my assumption before those economist starts barking. wahaha.. i am arrogant..
The wall street has been on the up trend for the previous 1 week. It surge!!! not just marginally up. It surged for 4 days and only pull back a little for 1 day. That is a very obvious sign that the market is stabilizing. No more roller coster ride of going up 300 points one day adn down another 400 point another day. Good news seems to be flowing around for the week. The housing indicator in America is showing a positive growth sign, the US government has announced that they are going to buy USD 300 billion worth treasury bond today(this is going to provide further liquidity in bank hence lower the mortgage rate and spur the housing market), Ben Bernake says the US economy is going to recover in 2010. The stream of good news comes after tons of bad news for the past few months. Citigroup share SOARED from less than USD 1 to USD 3 in one week time. All this shows that investors are gaining confidence in the economy.
Full fledge recover may not be seen this year, 2009, however, I am positive for the outlook of 2010. 2010 would be an exciting year to look forward to. The China will resume it's growth pace, US would be prospering again.
How will Malaysia performs. Actually I am not optimism about Malaysian economy as it's partially insulated from the world economy. Malaysian is less during the crisis means it will not be able to enjoy the full benefit of the boom time, as the asset price would be lagged behind. The Malaysian economy would not be able to attract the amount of FDI that is being attracted by Singapore and Hong Kong. Maybe we can try to get a job in SG to join the world economy boom party in 2010. I am looking forward to it.
Let's hope for the best.